Strength
Strength
|
41 18 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
924 69 Strength Momentum |
1008 41.6(52) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25/15 | Cibola ? | 0.000 | 1381 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 616 | 7% | |
| 08/27/15 | Highland ?? | 0.004 | 830 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 761 | 66% | |
| 08/29/15 | Albuquerque | 0.004 | 1475 | L 0- 5 | Expected (0) | 931 | 3% | |
| 09/01/15 | Rio Grande !! | 0.011 | 898 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1045 | 58% | |
| 09/03/15 | Manzano | 0.016 | 993 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 892 | 45% | |
| 09/08/15 | Manzano | 0.031 | 993 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 842 | 45% | |
| 09/10/15 | Cibola | 0.004 | 1381 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 616 | 7% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Valencia | 0.059 | 1206 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-2) | 829 | 17% | |
| 09/17/15 | at Moriarty | 0.110 | 702 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 879 | 74% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.030 | 1475 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 696 | 2% | |
| 09/26/15 | Valley | 0.250 | 1023 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 857 | 41% | |
| 09/30/15 | at Rio Grande ! | 0.381 | 898 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 977 | 49% | |
| 10/02/15 | West Mesa | 0.441 | 870 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 831 | 62% | |
| 10/06/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.083 | 1454 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 685 | 2% | |
| 10/10/15 | Albuquerque | 0.274 | 1475 | L 1- 7 | Expected (-1) | 879 | 3% | |
| 10/14/15 | at Valley | 0.852 | 1023 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 939 | 33% | |
| 10/17/15 | Rio Grande | 0.918 | 898 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 895 | 58% | |
| 10/21/15 | at West Mesa | 0.930 | 870 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 963 | 53% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Atrisco Heritage actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1008, while
Atrisco Heritage's "weighted playing strength" is 908
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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